Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
