SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
37.98% ( -0.12) | 28.08% ( -0.09) | 33.94% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 47.42% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.35% ( 0.33) | 58.65% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% ( 0.26) | 79.19% ( -0.26) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( 0.09) | 29.84% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.07% ( 0.11) | 65.93% ( -0.12) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( 0.3) | 32.4% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.08% ( 0.34) | 68.92% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.98% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PenarolPenarol | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | NacionalNacional | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 29 |
| 3 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 25 |
| 5 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | River PlateRiver Plate | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 20 |
| 9 | La Luz | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 10 | Montevideo City TorqueTorque | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
| 11 | DanubioDanubio | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Boston RiverBoston River | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | CerroCerro | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
| 16 | FenixFenix | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 12 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
