SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
34.31% ( 0.33) | 28.29% ( -0.12) | 37.4% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.84% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.61% ( 0.47) | 59.39% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.23% ( 0.36) | 79.77% ( -0.36) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( 0.46) | 32.54% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.93% ( 0.52) | 69.07% ( -0.52) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( 0.11) | 30.56% ( -0.11) |
