Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 48.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Danubio in this match.
0.37) 
-0.03) 
