Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 45.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.26) 
