Jun 5, 2022 at 7pm UK at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Danubio
2 - 1
Nacional
German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Nacional.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Danubio | Draw | Nacional |
22.64% ( 0.49) | 28.31% ( 0.29) | 49.05% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 40.66% ( -0.19) |
| 35.97% ( -0.51) | 64.02% ( 0.51) |
| 16.8% ( -0.36) | 83.2% ( 0.36) |
| 55.29% ( 0.2) | 44.71% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.3% ( 0.16) | 80.7% ( -0.16) |
| 73.55% ( -0.61) | 26.45% ( 0.61) |
