Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 40.18%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 29.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
0.34) 
-0.32) 
