SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw has a probability of 20.1% and a win for Vorskla Poltava has a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.08%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it is 2-1 (4.99%).
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
18.28% ( 0.35) | 20.09% ( 0.18) | 61.63% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( -0.28) | 37.22% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.57% ( -0.3) | 59.43% ( 0.29) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( 0.21) | 33.72% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.62% ( 0.23) | 70.38% ( -0.24) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( -0.23) | 11.65% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.31% ( -0.49) | 36.69% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.28% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.07% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 6.51% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.8% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.31% Total : 61.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 69 | 21 | 48 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 64 | 31 | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 60 |
| 5 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 45 |
| 6 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 41 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 36 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | Minai | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 33 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 32 |
| 12 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 32 |
| 13 | Veres | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Inhulets | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 31 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 58 | -31 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 52 | -34 | 13 |
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