SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
46.36% ( -0.48) | 26.02% ( 0) | 27.62% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% ( 0.28) | 52.94% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( 0.24) | 74.54% ( -0.24) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( -0.1) | 22.8% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.48% ( -0.15) | 56.51% ( 0.15) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( 0.54) | 34.01% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.3% ( 0.57) | 70.7% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 46.36% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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