SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
37.04% ( -1.71) | 27.22% ( -0.54) | 35.74% ( 2.24) |
| Both teams to score 50.21% ( 1.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.75% ( 2.27) | 55.25% ( -2.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.52% ( 1.83) | 76.48% ( -1.83) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 0.09) | 28.75% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.41% ( 0.11) | 64.58% ( -0.12) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( 2.58) | 29.53% ( -2.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.44% ( 3.04) | 65.56% ( -3.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.93) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.56)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.03% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.77)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 57 | 17 | 40 | 59 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 54 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 52 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 37 |
| 6 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 32 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 30 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 27 |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | Veres | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | Minai | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 23 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 21 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 19 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 13 |
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