SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
38.89% ( -0.52) | 28.49% ( -0.03) | 32.62% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 45.99% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.69% ( 0.21) | 60.31% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.53% ( 0.16) | 80.47% ( -0.16) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( -0.2) | 30.12% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.73% ( -0.24) | 66.27% ( 0.24) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( 0.5) | 34.18% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.13% ( 0.54) | 70.87% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.88% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 32.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 50 | 15 | 35 | 49 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 45 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 40 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 30 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 28 |
| 8 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 22 |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 22 |
| 11 | Minai | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 21 |
| 12 | Veres | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 20 |
| 13 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 19 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 35 | -19 | 13 |
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