SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Veres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Veres | Draw | FC Lviv |
55.09% ( -0.48) | 23.97% ( 0.1) | 20.93% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.47% ( 0.07) | 50.53% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( 0.06) | 72.45% ( -0.06) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( -0.15) | 18.22% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.76% ( -0.26) | 49.23% ( 0.26) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.31% ( 0.43) | 38.69% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.57% ( 0.41) | 75.42% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Veres | Draw | FC Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 55.09% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.47% Total : 20.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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