SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
25.43% ( -0.07) | 23.39% ( -0.02) | 51.17% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( 0.02) | 43.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.14% ( 0.02) | 65.86% ( -0.02) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( -0.05) | 30.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.02% ( -0.05) | 66.98% ( 0.05) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( 0.04) | 17.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.78% ( 0.07) | 47.21% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 25.43% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 3.99% Total : 51.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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