SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 2-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
22.4% ( -0.3) | 22.63% ( -0.08) | 54.96% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.84% ( 0.02) | 43.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.44% ( 0.01) | 65.56% ( -0.02) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( -0.26) | 33.12% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.27% ( -0.29) | 69.72% ( 0.28) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( 0.13) | 15.6% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.41% ( 0.25) | 44.58% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 2-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.4% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.52% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 54.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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