SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 62.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Metal Kharkiv had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Metal Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
16.25% ( 0.12) | 20.85% ( 0.02) | 62.89% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.61% ( 0.14) | 44.38% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.24% ( 0.14) | 66.76% ( -0.14) |
| Metal Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.59% ( 0.24) | 40.41% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.97% ( 0.22) | 77.02% ( -0.22) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( 0) | 13.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.48% ( 0.01) | 40.52% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metal Kharkiv | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 1-0 @ 4.94% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.25% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.85% | 0-2 @ 10.93% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.62% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.31% ( 0)2-3 @ 3% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 62.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 59 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 | Minai | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 33 |
| 9 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | Inhulets | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 31 |
| 13 | Metalist Kharkiv | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 31 |
| 14 | Veres | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 51 | -33 | 13 |
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