SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
53.77% ( 0.26) | 24.4% ( -0) | 21.83% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 50.07% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.75% ( -0.26) | 51.25% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% ( -0.23) | 73.08% ( 0.23) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% | 18.99% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.46% | 50.54% ( -0) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.81% ( -0.4) | 38.19% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.05% ( -0.39) | 74.95% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.55% Total : 21.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 57 | 17 | 40 | 59 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 54 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 52 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 37 |
| 6 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 32 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 30 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 27 |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | Veres | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | Minai | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 23 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 21 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 19 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 13 |
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