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European Under-21 Championship | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 5pm UK
Baumit Arena
England U21s
2 - 0
Germany U21s
Archer (4'), Elliott (21')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: England U21s 2-0 Israel U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
All competitions
European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Czech Rep. U21s 2-1 Germany U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: England Under-21s 1-1 Germany Under-21s

As much as Germany can rue bad luck for their failure to best Israel or the Czech Republic, they have been equally punished for a lack of ruthlessness, which is hardly ideal before testing their mettle against an England side yet to concede at the tournament. Carsley's rotated side can be forgiven for taking their foot off the gas as they seek to avoid injuries before the knockout stages, so overcoming the champions might be a bridge too far, but a closely-contested draw would keep the Young Lions undefeated while consigning Germany to only a fourth-ever group-stage exit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a England Under-21s win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Germany Under-21s has a probability of 37.33% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Under-21s win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.76%) and 2-0 (5%). The likeliest Germany Under-21s win is 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.62%).

Result
England Under-21sDrawGermany Under-21s
40.05% (1.225 1.23) 22.61% (-0.2 -0.2) 37.33% (-1.028 -1.03)
Both teams to score 66.85% (0.742 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.11% (0.982 0.98)33.88% (-0.985 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.26% (1.108 1.11)55.73% (-1.11 -1.11)
England Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (0.94699999999999 0.95)17.64% (-0.951 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (1.623 1.62)48.24% (-1.625 -1.63)
Germany Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)18.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)50.27% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    England Under-21s 40.05%
    Germany Under-21s 37.33%
    Draw 22.61%
England Under-21sDrawGermany Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 5.76% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.192 0.19)
3-2 @ 4.03% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.144 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.118 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.087 0.09)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.97% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-3 @ 2.24% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-1 @ 5.55% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.252 -0.25)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 37.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: England U21s 2-0 Israel U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Czech Rep. U21s 0-2 England U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: England U21s 3-1 Germany U21s
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Under-21 Friendlies
Last Game: Italy U21s 0-2 England U21s
Thursday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Under-21 Friendlies
Last Game: England U21s 1-2 Slovenia U21s
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in European Under-21 Championship Qualifying
Last Game: Kosovo U21s 0-5 England U21s
Friday, June 10 at 7pm in European Under-21 Championship Qualifying
Last Game: Czech Rep. U21s 2-1 Germany U21s
Sunday, June 25 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Germany U21s 1-1 Israel U21s
Thursday, June 22 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: England U21s 3-1 Germany U21s
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Under-21 Friendlies
Last Game: Germany U21s 1-0 Portugal U21s
Sunday, June 6 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Netherlands U21s 1-2 Germany U21s
Thursday, June 3 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Denmark U21s 2-2 Germany U21s (5-6 pen.)
Monday, May 31 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship
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