Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-21s win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Israel Under-21s had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Israel Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.