SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Casa Pia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Casa Pia |
25.78% ( 0.56) | 24.6% ( -0.34) | 49.62% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.82% ( 1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( 1.86) | 48.44% ( -1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( 1.68) | 70.57% ( -1.67) |
| Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( 1.47) | 33.1% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.31% ( 1.59) | 69.69% ( -1.59) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( 0.65) | 19.55% ( -0.65) |
