SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 18.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Casa Pia |
58.83% ( -0.01) | 23.02% ( 0) | 18.16% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.58% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.68% ( 0.01) | 50.33% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.73% ( 0) | 72.28% ( -0) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0) | 16.79% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.25% ( -0) | 46.76% ( 0) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.38% ( 0.01) | 41.62% ( -0.01) |
