Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Casa Pia and Valadares Gaia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Valadares Gaia had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Valadares Gaia win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
| Result |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Valadares Gaia |
59.85% ( 0) | 23.41% | 16.74% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 44.86% ( -0.01) |
| 46.09% ( -0) | 53.91% ( 0) |
| 24.64% ( -0) | 75.36% ( 0) |
| 82.28% | 17.72% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.51% ( -0.01) | 45.49% ( 0.01) |
