SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 14.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
64.66% ( 0.46) | 20.57% ( -0.21) | 14.77% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 49.01% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( 0.44) | 45.99% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( 0.41) | 68.29% ( -0.41) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( 0.27) | 13.47% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.53% ( 0.55) | 40.47% ( -0.54) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.64% ( -0.07) | 43.37% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.4% ( -0.06) | 79.6% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 2-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.79% Total : 64.65% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.49% Total : 14.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Porto | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Estrela Amadora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | SC FarenseFarense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Vizela | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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