SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Roma |
19.89% ( -0.01) | 24.86% ( 0) | 55.25% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.11% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% ( -0.02) | 55.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.64% ( -0.01) | 76.36% ( 0.01) |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( -0.02) | 42.43% ( 0.02) |
