MX23RW : Friday, January 13 00:53:14
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Jul 4, 2020 at 5pm UK at Estadio do Bonfim
Setubal
2 - 3
Pacos de Ferreira
Mathiola (27'), Pires (45+4')
Carlinhos (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tanque (47'), de Brito Gonzaga (61'), Denilson (72')
Silva (39'), Reabciuk (79')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Setubal and Pacos de Ferreira.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de SetubalDrawPacos de Ferreira
29.31%27.5%43.19%
Both teams to score 47.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.27%57.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.52%78.47%
Vitoria de Setubal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75%35.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99%72.01%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32%61.68%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Setubal 29.31%
    Pacos de Ferreira 43.18%
    Draw 27.5%
Vitoria de SetubalDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 9.74%
2-1 @ 6.74%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 29.31%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 12.4%
1-2 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 8.24%
1-3 @ 3.8%
0-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 1.98%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 43.18%

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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica15131138102840
2Braga15111336122434
3Porto15103236102633
4Sporting Lisbon1591529161328
5Casa Pia158341511427
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes157351416-224
7AroucaArouca156451724-722
8Rio AveRio Ave155551719-220
9ChavesChaves155551419-520
10BoavistaBoavista146261523-820
11PortimonensePortimonense156181317-419
12Vizela155371515018
13FamalicaoFamalicao155281519-417
14Estoril PraiaEstoril144461420-616
15Santa ClaraSanta Clara153481118-713
16Gil Vicente153391222-1012
17Maritimo152491028-1810
18Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira150312830-223
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