Santa Clara will head into the game with renewed confidence after returning to winning ways last time out. However, Sporting Lisbon have been utterly dominant in the history of this fixture and we predict they will extend their dominance and come away with the win in normal time.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 13.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
