With just one point separating the two sides in the bottom half of the standings, this game has all the makings of an absorbing contest. However, we are tipping both sides to cancel each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils as they head into the game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
