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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 29, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
SC
Estoril
2 - 2
Santa Clara
Rosier (24'), Franco (88' pen.)
Acevedo (54'), Soria (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lincoln (15'), Crysan (64')
Nene (18'), Morita (87')

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Santa Clara

Santa Clara find themselves rooted to the bottom of the table after an underwhelming start to the season which has seen them pick up just six points from the first 33 available. Meanwhile, Estoril Praia have enjoyed a decent start to their top flight campaign and despite their struggles on home turf, we are tipping them to claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSanta Clara
36.81%28.33%34.86%
Both teams to score 46.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.53%59.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.17%79.83%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03%30.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73%67.27%
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79%32.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3%68.71%
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 36.81%
    Santa Clara 34.86%
    Draw 28.32%
Estoril PraiaDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 11.69%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-0 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.32%
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 6.4%
1-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.86%

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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica30252371175477
2Porto30234363194473
3Braga30232566254171
4Sporting Lisbon29194659273261
5AroucaArouca3013983334-148
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30135122936-744
7FamalicaoFamalicao29133133337-442
8ChavesChaves301010103034-440
9Vizela30116133332139
10Casa Pia30116132734-739
11Rio AveRio Ave30108123135-438
12BoavistaBoavista30107133649-1337
13PortimonensePortimonense30103172339-1633
14Gil Vicente3087152636-1031
15Estoril PraiaEstoril3084182645-1928
16Maritimo3064202756-2922
17Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira3055202352-2920
18Santa ClaraSanta Clara3037201948-2916
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