Portimonense head into the game without a win in any of their last seven meetings against Sporting Lisbon and will be looking to end that dry spell. However, the Leoes have won each of their last nine home games and appear simply unstoppable at the moment. Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are backing Sporting to come away with all three points
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 7.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.57%) and 3-0 (11.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
