SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
51.5% ( -0.24) | 23.52% ( 0.12) | 24.98% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( -0.42) | 44.41% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.22% ( -0.41) | 66.78% ( 0.41) |
| Umraniyespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.72% ( -0.25) | 17.28% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.38% ( -0.43) | 47.62% ( 0.44) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% ( -0.13) | 31.58% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.01% ( -0.14) | 67.99% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Umraniyespor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.86% Total : 51.5% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 66 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 60 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 56 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 39 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 37 |
| 10 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 32 |
| 12 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | SivassporSivasspor | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 31 |
| 14 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Giresunspor | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 27 |
| 17 | GaziantepGaziantep | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 25 |
| 18 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 56 | -37 | 23 |
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