SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 15.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Hatayspor |
64.43% ( 0.73) | 20.34% ( -0.22) | 15.23% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 50.87% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( -0) | 44.08% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( -0) | 66.46% ( 0) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.05% ( 0.21) | 12.95% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.58% ( 0.43) | 39.41% ( -0.43) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.44% ( -0.68) | 41.56% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.95% ( -0.6) | 78.05% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 11% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 64.43% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.34% | 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.68% Total : 15.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 66 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 60 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 55 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 32 |
| 12 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | SivassporSivasspor | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 31 |
| 14 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 | GaziantepGaziantep | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 25 |
| 17 | Giresunspor | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 53 | -34 | 23 |
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