SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 54.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sivasspor | Draw | Giresunspor |
54.31% ( 1.21) | 25.24% ( -0.66) | 20.45% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 45.86% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.12% ( 1.77) | 55.87% ( -1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.01% ( 1.42) | 76.99% ( -1.42) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( 1.22) | 20.58% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.88% ( 1.89) | 53.12% ( -1.89) |
| Giresunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.74% ( 0.43) | 42.25% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.34% ( 0.37) | 78.65% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sivasspor | Draw | Giresunspor |
| 1-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.34% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.61)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.08% Total : 20.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 27 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 66 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 60 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 56 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 32 |
| 12 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | SivassporSivasspor | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 31 |
| 14 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Giresunspor | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 27 |
| 17 | GaziantepGaziantep | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 53 | -34 | 23 |
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