SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fatih Karagumruk | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 5 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 5 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 5 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sivasspor | Draw | Istanbulspor |
50.71% ( -0.3) | 25.57% ( 0.21) | 23.72% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.02% ( -0.73) | 53.98% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.58% ( -0.62) | 75.42% ( 0.62) |
| Sivasspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( -0.42) | 21.31% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.74% ( -0.66) | 54.26% ( 0.66) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.09% ( -0.33) | 37.91% ( 0.33) |
