SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 45%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Galatasaray |
28.51% ( -0.04) | 26.49% ( 0.03) | 45% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.1% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.69% ( -0.12) | 54.31% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.3% ( -0.09) | 75.7% ( 0.1) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -0.09) | 34.05% ( 0.09) |
