SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Ankaragucu |
39.1% ( -0.02) | 26.13% ( 0) | 34.77% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% ( -0) | 50.85% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( -0) | 72.73% ( 0) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( -0.01) | 25.5% ( 0.01) |
