SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Besiktas |
26.88% ( 0.65) | 23.6% ( 0.59) | 49.52% ( -1.24) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.81% ( -2.18) | 43.19% ( 2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( -2.18) | 65.59% ( 2.19) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( -0.65) | 29.46% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.54% ( -0.81) | 65.46% ( 0.81) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( -1.27) | 17.56% ( 1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.89% ( -2.25) | 48.11% ( 2.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.28% Total : 26.88% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.48)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.23)0-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.8% Total : 49.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 80 | 27 | 53 | 85 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 84 | 42 | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 35 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 77 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 66 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 51 | 12 | 57 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 50 |
| 8 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 72 | 63 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | KayserisporKayserispor | 35 | 15 | 4 | 16 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 43 |
| 11 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 42 |
| 12 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 41 |
| 14 | SivassporSivasspor | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 38 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 37 |
| R | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 47 | 60 | -13 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 80 | -61 | 23 |
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