SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 62.08%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Istanbulspor |
62.08% ( -0.02) | 20% ( 0.01) | 17.9% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.51% ( -0.05) | 37.49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.28% ( -0.06) | 59.71% ( 0.06) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.39% ( -0.02) | 11.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.4% ( -0.05) | 36.59% ( 0.05) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( -0.02) | 34.29% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29% ( -0.02) | 70.99% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Istanbulspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 4.28% Total : 62.08% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 17.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 80 | 27 | 53 | 85 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 84 | 42 | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 35 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 77 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 66 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 51 | 12 | 57 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 50 |
| 8 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 72 | 63 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | KayserisporKayserispor | 35 | 15 | 4 | 16 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 43 |
| 11 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 42 |
| 12 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 41 |
| 14 | SivassporSivasspor | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 38 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 37 |
| R | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 47 | 60 | -13 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 80 | -61 | 23 |
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