SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Ankaragucu |
58.12% ( 1.81) | 22.08% ( -0.49) | 19.79% ( -1.33) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.95% ( 0.38) | 44.05% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% ( 0.37) | 66.43% ( -0.38) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.13% ( 0.72) | 14.86% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.8% ( 1.37) | 43.19% ( -1.38) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -1.12) | 36.15% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.06% ( -1.15) | 72.93% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Ankaragucu |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.69% Total : 58.12% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.79% Total : 19.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 80 | 27 | 53 | 85 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 84 | 42 | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 35 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 77 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 66 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 51 | 12 | 57 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 50 |
| 8 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 72 | 63 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | KayserisporKayserispor | 35 | 15 | 4 | 16 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 43 |
| 11 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 42 |
| 12 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 41 |
| 14 | SivassporSivasspor | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 38 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 37 |
| R | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 47 | 60 | -13 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 80 | -61 | 23 |
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