SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Besiktas |
20.45% ( -0.6) | 21.31% ( -0.04) | 58.24% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.41% ( -0.67) | 39.59% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.06% ( -0.7) | 61.94% ( 0.71) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( -0.96) | 32.92% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.5% ( -1.08) | 69.5% ( 1.08) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.64% ( -0.02) | 13.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.76% ( -0.05) | 40.24% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.33% Total : 20.45% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.26)0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 6.64% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.34% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.01% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.49% Total : 58.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fenerbahce | 19 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 56 | 16 | 40 | 50 |
| 2 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 36 |
| 4 | BesiktasBesiktas | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 32 |
| 6 | Adana Demirspor | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 29 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
| 8 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | SivassporSivasspor | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 12 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
| 13 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 22 |
| 14 | Hatayspor | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 21 |
| 15 | GaziantepGaziantep | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 20 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 18 |
| 18 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
| 19 | Pendikspor | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
| 20 | Istanbulspor | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 6 |
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