SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reggina | Draw | SPAL |
41.06% ( -0) | 28.21% ( -0.01) | 30.73% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.26% ( 0.02) | 59.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.96% ( 0.02) | 80.04% ( -0.02) |
| Reggina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( 0.01) | 28.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.61% ( 0.01) | 64.4% ( -0.01) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( 0.02) | 35.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28% ( 0.02) | 72% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reggina | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.67% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 10.51% 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 30.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 55 |
| 2 | Genoa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | BariBari | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| 4 | RegginaReggina | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 42 |
| 5 | SudtirolSudtirol | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 41 |
| 6 | Pisa | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 38 |
| 7 | Parma | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | CagliariCagliari | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Palermo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | Modena | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 35 |
| 11 | Ternana | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Cittadella | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 33 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Como | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Perugia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 29 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 29 |
| 17 | BeneventoBenevento | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 26 |
| 18 | SPALSPAL | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | Brescia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 25 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 23 |
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