Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pisa in this match.
