SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Modena had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Modena |
47.58% ( 0.1) | 25.95% ( -0.04) | 26.47% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.61% ( 0.1) | 53.38% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( 0.08) | 74.92% ( -0.08) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( 0.08) | 22.44% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.03% ( 0.13) | 55.97% ( -0.13) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( 0) | 35.18% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.06% ( 0) | 71.93% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Modena |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.57% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 4 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Cremonese | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 32 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
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