SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Sampdoria |
47.17% ( 0.25) | 27.53% ( -0.03) | 25.3% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 44.93% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.17% ( -0.03) | 59.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.89% ( -0.02) | 80.1% ( 0.02) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( 0.11) | 25.44% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.74% ( 0.15) | 60.26% ( -0.15) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% ( -0.21) | 39.74% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.58% ( -0.2) | 76.41% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Modena | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 47.16% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 25.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 35 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
| 3 | Como | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 31 |
| 4 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 30 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 29 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Palermo | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | Modena | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 27 |
| 9 | Brescia | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Sampdoria | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
| 11 | BariBari | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Pisa | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | Ternana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Reggiana | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | AscoliAscoli | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 16 |
| 19 | Lecco | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 31 | -19 | 10 |
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