SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Catanzaro |
38.93% ( 0.41) | 26.23% ( 0.07) | 34.83% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.7% ( -0.35) | 51.3% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.87% ( -0.3) | 73.13% ( 0.31) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( 0.06) | 25.8% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.24% ( 0.09) | 60.75% ( -0.09) |
| Catanzaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( -0.46) | 28.17% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.14% ( -0.58) | 63.86% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Catanzaro |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.93% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Palermo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Como | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Cremonese | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Modena | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Reggiana | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Brescia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 | Cittadella | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Pisa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | AscoliAscoli | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | BariBari | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 16 | SpeziaSpezia | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Ternana | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 5 |
| 20 | Lecco | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
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