SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 24.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Sampdoria |
50.16% ( 1.85) | 24.96% ( -0.43) | 24.88% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( 0.67) | 50.61% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( 0.59) | 72.52% ( -0.59) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( 1.05) | 20.19% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.51% ( 1.66) | 52.49% ( -1.66) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% ( -0.83) | 35.02% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.23% ( -0.88) | 71.77% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cremonese | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.07% Total : 24.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 23 |
| 2 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 21 |
| 3 | Palermo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | VeneziaVenezia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Como | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Brescia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | SudtirolSudtirol | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Modena | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Cittadella | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | AscoliAscoli | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Pisa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | BariBari | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Ternana | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 5 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
| 20 | Lecco | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 1 |
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