Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
-0.27) 
0.27) 
