SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Perugia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Reggina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Pisa |
54.44% ( -0.01) | 25.21% ( 0.02) | 20.35% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.78% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.11% ( -0.06) | 55.9% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23% ( -0.05) | 77.01% ( 0.05) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -0.03) | 20.54% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.95% ( -0.04) | 53.05% ( 0.05) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( -0.04) | 42.38% ( 0.05) |
