SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Palermo |
42.4% ( -0.22) | 27.53% ( 0.09) | 30.07% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.89% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.47% ( -0.28) | 57.53% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.68% ( -0.22) | 78.32% ( 0.22) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( -0.25) | 26.81% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.89% ( -0.32) | 62.1% ( 0.32) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( -0.05) | 34.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.71% ( -0.05) | 71.28% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | Palermo |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 30.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
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