SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 36.05%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Cittadella |
36.05% ( 0.14) | 28.87% ( 0.03) | 35.07% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 45.23% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.61% ( -0.1) | 61.39% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.71% ( -0.07) | 81.28% ( 0.07) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( 0.04) | 32.42% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.06% ( 0.05) | 68.94% ( -0.05) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.16) | 33.07% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.34% ( -0.18) | 69.66% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Modena | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.05% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.87% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 4 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Cremonese | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 32 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
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