SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Palermo |
50.6% ( -0.04) | 26.39% ( -0.02) | 23.01% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.83% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.45% ( 0.1) | 57.55% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% ( 0.08) | 78.34% ( -0.08) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( 0.03) | 22.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.42% ( 0.04) | 56.58% ( -0.05) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.4% ( 0.11) | 40.59% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.81% ( 0.1) | 77.19% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | Palermo |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.59% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.28% Total : 23.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 68 |
| 2 | Genoa | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | BariBari | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 61 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 54 |
| 5 | Parma | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 52 |
| 6 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Pisa | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 |
| 8 | RegginaReggina | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | AscoliAscoli | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 46 |
| 10 | VeneziaVenezia | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 |
| 11 | Palermo | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 | Modena | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 44 |
| 13 | Como | 35 | 9 | 16 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 43 |
| 14 | Ternana | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 | Brescia | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 38 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 |
| 18 | Perugia | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 35 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 32 |
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