SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Cittadella |
37.55% ( -0.11) | 28.97% ( 0.11) | 33.48% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.82% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.18% ( -0.38) | 61.82% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.39% ( -0.28) | 81.61% ( 0.28) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% ( -0.26) | 31.7% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.88% ( -0.3) | 68.12% ( 0.3) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.62% ( -0.2) | 34.38% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.92% ( -0.21) | 71.08% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ascoli | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.89% Total : 37.54% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
